Posted: Sun May 29, 2005 4:59 am
Canada, the land of the Liberal Party. (or is it The
Liberal Party, the land of Canada.)<p>
From the Montreal Gazette: <p>
They say the only two things certain in life are death
and taxes. In post-Mulroney Canada, a third item has
joined that list: federal Liberals in power.
Whether in a majority or minority government, whether
their leader is Jean Chretien or Paul Martin, Liberals
hang on to power like destiny owes it to them. In the
wilds of Canada, no political animal is a fiercer survivor
than a federal Liberal. <p>
After the results of the 1995 referendum sent
editorialists throughout the rest of Canada demanding
Chretien's resignation, he played the national-unity
card and manoeuvred the country into two early
elections to ward off the Canadian Alliance and the
Conservatives.
Anybody today remember Stockwell Day in his
wetsuit?<p>
Only another Liberal, it seems, is allowed to unseat a
Liberal prime minister, acting or former. Martin did it to
Chretien. Chretien did it to John Turner. Someday,
somebody will do it to Martin.
Nothing can shake their grip on the country. The
sponsorship scandal? Although Liberals were reduced
to a minority government, it wasn't enough to kick them
out. <p>
This year, even with the Gomery commission and its
stories of corruption and illicit cash-filled envelopes
exchanged in restaurants, Stephen Harper's
Conservative Party barely managed to threaten the
Liberals electorally, and then only for a couple of
weeks. <p>
Ontario, the all-powerful election-deciding province, got
a little upset for a while, then quickly went back to sleep
in the Liberal fold. What many in the ROC still see as a
mainly Quebec-based scandal among a bunch of
crooked Quebecers couldn't make a lasting dent in
Liberal support, according to the polls. <p>
What will it take to bring the Liberals down? Jean
Lapierre eloping with Jack Layton? Not even the daily
election promises, nor the astoundingly opportunistic
defection of Belinda Stronach, revolted enough
Canadians to send the Liberals into the free fall in the
polls that they deserve. <p>
So the conventional wisdom du jour says it's all
Stephen Harper's fault. Bad, bad Stephen Harper.
Yesterday, Calgary Herald columnist Don Martin wrote
his list of advice for the "charismatically challenged"
Tory leader.
Globe and Mail columnist Lawrence Martin tried to
portray Peter MacKay as the knight in shining armour
who could replace Harper and get the Conservatives in
power. Recently dumped by Stronach, it's more likely
MacKay will have to suffer the comparison with the
other leader-in-waiting, Premier Bernard Lord, whom
Brian Mulroney wanted to head the new Tories in the
first place. <p>
Stronach and a bunch of commentators accused the
Tory leader of not treating her with enough respect. Bad
manners toward women, Mr. Harper!
Funny how no one noted Stronach defected to a party
whose leader had treated his own former female
leadership rival, Sheila Copps, with the refinement of a
pitbull - going as far as having her defeated at her
nomination convention. Now that's respect for women
in politics? Good luck, Belinda. <p>
Yesterday, a Globe and Mail/Leger Marketing poll swept
these musings aside. The problem, it says, is not
Harper per se. It's the party's position on issues such
as abortion, same-sex marriage and relations with the
United States.
Even with the more mainstream Lord or MacKay as
leader, Tory support remains unchanged. As the final
blow, although 36 per cent of respondents view Harper
as "more honest" than the 26 per cent who say the
same of Martin, 46 per cent still think Martin can better
manage Canada. Who said honesty was a prerequisite
to govern? <p>
Still, one finding in that poll told the real story of Liberal
endurance. Half of respondents found Martin to be
better at preserving national unity, as opposed to only
26 per cent for Harper.
This perception explains why Stronach defected,
alleging she did it to save national unity, and why
Liberals and the NDP spent the past months accusing
Harper of sleeping with the separatists. Against all
reason, it's obvious the Liberals have succeeded in
posing as the only ones capable of containing the
separatist threat. <p>
When he testified at the Gomery commission, Benoit
Corbeil, former Liberal president of its Quebec wing,
tried to explain the real origins of the sponsorship
program. With this greater visibility, Chretien wanted
voters in the ROC to equate the Liberal Party with
Canada and federalism. Looking at the Leger poll
numbers and seeing how the "sleeping with the
separatists" accusation against Harper stuck to him,
Corbeil was bang on. <p>
Posing as the guardians of national unity, with the NDP
propping them up and Stronach giving the signal that
Bay St. is still painted Liberal red, Liberals have it made
in the shade.
The only tool missing in their survival kit is the Gomery
report. Yes, the Gomery report.
Here's my prediction: It will absolve the Martin clan and
crucify the Chretien clan. Come next election, why
would Ontarians punish a bunch of ghosts?