Zipperfish wrote:
John McCain is a lot different than George W. Bush--granted. But he does identify with the same party--and presumably then, the same idological foundation--as George W. Bush.
"Party" and "ideological foundation" are not synonyms in US politics, or even close to it. Ron Paul is in that same party; do you imagine he shares an ideological foundation with George W. Bush? They disagree on three times as many issues as they agree on.
Zipperfish wrote:
Also, the apparatus that supports the Republican power structure--the advisors, the handlers, the appointees, etc-- remains the same to perpetuate the same old, same old.
The party apparatus or the bureaucracy in Washington? As I understand it, the entrenched bureaucracy in Washington is quite left-wing.
Sure, the Republican party apparatus is mostly the same: it's the same people who opposed Bush on the Dubai ports deal, Harriet Miers, No Child Left Behind, immigration reform, the financial bailout (at least superficially), and on and on. Bush has not been paralleling his party any more than he parallels McCain. For that matter, McCain hasn't exactly stood the party line historically either.
(For the record, the only one of the above issues on which I agreed with Bush was the Dubai ports deal.)
Zipperfish wrote:
the Republicans need to go stand in the corner and rethink their message, in my opinion.
They ought to rethink this false compromise fetish they've been harboring and go full bore towards the pluralistic democratic freedoms and spending cuts. That's what made them popular in the 80s.
Zipperfish wrote:
Of course, the Republicans could still well win the election
Hahahahaha! That's a good one. Now I'll be able to go to sleep with a smile on my face. Republicans could still win... ha! It gets funnier every time.
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Have you ever noticed the 30-year repeating pattern in US politics? The country goes conservative or right-wing for about a decade, liberalism takes over for about a decade, an ugly hodgepodge corrupt mixture rules for about a decade, then it repeats.
Conservative decades: 1920s (I love Coolidge), 1950s (the Red Scare), 1980s (Reagan and my birth =)
Liberal decades: 1930s (Great Depression), 1960s (The Hippy Trippy Decade), 1990s (The Clintonian Era)
Moderate decades: 1940s (okay, WW2 was a pretty good decade for moderate politics), 1970s (Nixon), this decade (Bush).
For this schedule to continue, whoever gets elected this time around will be a 1-term President, followed by a real conservative administration. That suggests Obama will win; why would the Republicans not run the incumbent?
It's slightly ridiculous to assume the pattern means something when you don't know why it's occurring, but it's a fun little superstition of mine. With Election '08 sucking as it is, it gives me some hope for 2012. It also reinforces my belief that a bad compromise is worse than a well-considered partisan position, even if I disagree with that particular partisan view.