herbie wrote:
Obama's gonna slaughter them in a debate.
ShepherdsDog wrote:
he won't even have to show up
I fully expect Obama to win the
election, but he'd be hard-pressed to win the
debates. There are too many easy attacks on his effectiveness any critic can use; Obama took office with an unemployment rate of 7.8%, passed his big stimulus plan a month later, and unemployment has never been below 8.8% since; the United States is militarily active on more fronts in more countries than when the anti-war lobby voted him in; for all the criticisms of Bush's big deficit spending, the deficit grew more in 2.5 years of the Obama Administration than under 8 years of the Bush Administration.
Obama has a few easy points of his own -- "We passed health care!" and "We got Osama!" -- but they're a few chocolate chips in a dog crap pie, the former not necessarily the right thing to do and clearly underfunded while the latter is not necessarily the result of his actions or an effect of his election. A Republican challenger faces the same uphill battle as any challenger facing an incumbent in a wartime election, but it's Obama who faces the uphill battle of assembling debate rhetoric that makes his administration look like the string of important successes that it clearly isn't.