Posts: 13354
Posted: Thu Jul 28, 2011 8:44 am
It doesn't matter in the 21st century, most kills are by missile, not guns. And those kills happen at long range, as much as 10 km away. Western pilots also fly many more hours than those of potential adversaries (China, Russia, Iran, North Korea, etc).
From my current understanding of aerial warfare, here's kind of what happens nowadays;
1. AWACS plane detects incoming strike of enemy planes
2. Fighters launched to attack incoming planes (CAP planes may already be airborne)
3. AWACS planes direct western fighters towards enemy planes
4. Both sides do their best to jam enemy radar - the West still has a huge lead in electronic warfare, so they can see enemy planes at a farther distance
5. Fighters launch AA missiles as soon as they have target lock - Western planes generally have a longer range to do this, so enemy planes may have to endure a salvo or two of incoming missiles without being able to fire back.
6. AWACS determines remaining number of incoming enemy planes and then a decision is made whether or not to engage with guns (AKA dogfight).
OR
6. Enemy planes withdraw due to heavy losses
7. If the enemy is determined and continues forward, then fighters engage in a dogfight. However, by this time, many enemy planes are smoking piles of wreckage on the ground and maybe even outnumbered by defending fighters. This is when Russian planes MAY have an advantage, but I'm doubtful about that too, simply due to better training and flying time Western pilots have.
Speed and agility may give a plane a slightly better chance to avoid incoming missiles, but due to the fact that missiles can endure more Gs than people and often travel faster than many planes, it's only perhaps another 5%-20% chance of surviving missile attack.
Basically, many Russian planes will never get close enough to see the F-35 cross section...