Author
CKA Uber

Posts: 20921
Posted: Tue Jul 24, 2012 11:10 pm

The Mind-Bending Math of Probabilities

My latest blog post is up. Mostly interestd in readers' responses to this teaser.

Quote:

Quote:
Say you plan to roll a die 20 times. Which of these results is more likely: (a) 11111111111111111111, or (b) 66234441536125563152?

Marilyn vos Savant, who was famous for having the Guinness Book of World Record highest IQ in the 80s (before, apparently, they did away with the highest IQ record), answered:

Quote:
In theory, the results are equally likely. Both specify the number that must appear each time the die is rolled. (For example, the 10th number in the first series must be a 1. The 10th number in the second series must be a 3.) Each number—1 through 6—has the same chance of landing faceup.

But let’s say you tossed a die out of my view and then said that the results were one of the above. Which series is more likely to be the one you threw? Because the roll has already occurred, the answer is (b). It’s far more likely that the roll produced a mixed bunch of numbers than a series of 1’s.

Comment here or on the comment site of the blog.

Cheers

Zip

 Regina Site Admin Posts: 32460 Posted: Mon Sep 17, 2012 10:32 pm   Definitely not a problem with your spelling.....it's you typing skill!! :lol"
 bootlegga CKA Uber Posts: 21286 Posted: Tue Sep 18, 2012 2:33 pm   Zipperfish wrote:All right, I'll probably get someone else to look at these for me. But the offer stands, at least from my end, if you ever want a line edit. Thanks again for the great advice. I will be hitting you up for more. Right now it's on to formatting and looking at art options. Teh style guie is almost 200 pages! Sheesh. Luckily I'm an MS Word guru, so I should be able to manage it fairly quickly.Formatting is pretty easy - remove all tabs and use the ruler function instead. No more than four returns in a row - use page breaks instead. That's pretty much it - unless you use tables and charts and so on, which I doubt. Amazon's KDP is even easier - upload any word doc and it formats it for you automatically.
 Zipperfish CKA Uber   Posts: 20921 Posted: Sun Sep 30, 2012 9:25 am   Dragging my blog back from the dead.The afghanistan Hangover
 Strutz CKA Moderator   Posts: 12141 Posted: Sun Sep 30, 2012 8:37 pm   Zipperfish wrote:Dragging my blog back from the dead.The afghanistan HangoverThanks Zip! A good read. As were your other blog entries.It's nice to have you back on home soil.Hang onto those dreams man.
 Zipperfish CKA Uber   Posts: 20921 Posted: Mon Oct 01, 2012 8:35 am   Strutz wrote:Zipperfish wrote:Dragging my blog back from the dead.The afghanistan HangoverThanks Zip! A good read. As were your other blog entries.It's nice to have you back on home soil.Hang onto those dreams man.Thanks, hun--you're the greatest!
 Zipperfish CKA Uber   Posts: 20921 Posted: Wed Oct 10, 2012 9:09 pm   A little darker today for some reason.Mindfingers: People Don't Change
 Strutz CKA Moderator   Posts: 12141 Posted: Wed Oct 10, 2012 9:57 pm   Good one Zip!
 Zipperfish CKA Uber   Posts: 20921 Posted: Tue Mar 05, 2013 11:06 pm   Quote:So as I’m sitting here watching my socks dry on the radiator I thought I’d grab the paddles, yell “Clear” and try to bring this damn blog back from the dead. Mindfingers: Ruminating on the Black Plague While Washing Me Socks
 Zipperfish CKA Uber   Posts: 20921 Posted: Fri Mar 15, 2013 8:53 am   The latest blog entry. Self explanatory.Six Things You Didn't Know About Octopuses
 bootlegga CKA Uber Posts: 21286 Posted: Fri Mar 15, 2013 9:01 am   Sorry, any blog post on Octopodes without an honorary mention of Dr. Octopus are a fail! P.S. I knew five of the six things, so there!
 Page 9 of 10 [ 137 posts ] Previous  1 ... 6  7  8  9  10  Next

#### Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest

All logos and trademarks in this site are property of their respective owner.