well RB might be happy if this one holds true
http://www.nationalpost.com/news/story.html?id=764478Half of Canadians choose Harper as best PM: poll
OTTAWA -- Stephen Harper heads into the expected federal election as the preferred choice as prime minister, according to a new poll that is the latest survey to show a wide gap in attitudes toward the leaders of the governing Tories and opposition Liberals.
Asked who would make the best prime minister, exactly half of respondents in the poll of 1,003 Canadians chose Mr. Harper, followed by NDP leader Jack Layton at 31% and Liberal leader Stéphane Dion at 20%.The Aug. 26-28 telephone survey was conducted by Ipsos Reid for Canwest News Service and Global National. It comes after weekend national polls that also showed Mr. Harper well ahead of Mr. Dion on leadership questions -- results that could explain the Conservative eagerness for an October vote.
An Angus Reid poll released Saturday had the Prime Minister leading the Liberal leader 45% to 10% when respondents were asked if the two were "strong and decisive" leaders. A Strategic Counsel poll released Tuesday showed 53% of Canadians considered Mr. Harper the most decisive leader, compared with 17% for Mr. Dion.
Ipsos Reid president Darrell Bricker said Mr. Dion's best chance of winning a general vote is to mount negative personal attacks, "to rough up Stephen Harper a bit."
He noted Mr. Harper's popularity extends across the country, except Atlantic Canada, where Mr. Layton held a slight 43-39 edge in the Ipsos Reid poll.
In addition, the Ipsos Reid survey found that no big campaign issue has emerged, with the environment (28%), health care (28%) and the economy (26%) in a virtual tie.
"If this election is going to be a referendum on leadership, Stephen Harper has a heck of an advantage," said Mr. Bricker.
Mr. Layton's relatively strong showing in the poll has him well placed to play a spoiler role, perhaps bleeding away left-of-centre support from the Liberals, said Mr. Bricker.
Mr. Layton beat the Liberal and Conservative leaders as being the most "sincerely committed to dealing with global warming," with 38% support, compared with 30% for Mr. Dion and 27% for Mr. Harper.
Mr. Bricker said that shows that Dion's Green Shift carbon tax proposal is not resonating with Canadians.
"His strength as being an advocate for the environment is clearly not cutting it at this stage."
The global warming question was one of 14 that probed leadership characteristics in an on-line portion of the poll of 1,005 Canadians.
Mr. Harper emerged ahead of Dion and Layton as someone who is best positioned to manage the country through tough economic times (50%), who has "what it takes" to lead Canada (47%) and who "has a vision of Canada that you can support" (43%).
"There has been a transition in people's attitudes towards Harper. Warming to him is probably the wrong thing to say. It's more that there's a rational acceptance of his strengths," said Mr. Bricker.
"It's not like it's Obama-mania, where they're all crazy about what he says about them."
Mr. Bricker said the poll suggests that Mr. Dion should campaign on the strength of his party as a team, or as a "government in waiting."
Mr. Harper's personal popularity does not translate into big gains on the electoral map that would either strengthen his minority or propel the Conservatives to a majority, because the party has failed to make in-roads in Quebec, where the Bloc Québécois remains strong, or in Ontario, Mr. Bricker said.
To win a majority, the Tories will have to chip away at Bloc support or they will have to sweep all of Ontario outside of downtown Toronto, said Mr. Bricker.
The poll suggests that Ontario and Quebec will likely emerge as the main campaign battlegrounds, he added.
"This will be a campaign run on buses, not on airplanes," said Mr. Bricker, "driving up and down the 401 or the Macdonald-Cartier freeway (between Windsor, Ont., and Quebec)."
The margin of error for the telephone and on-line surveys was 3.1 per cent, 19 times out of 20.
Mr. Dion on Tuesday said he plans to propose extra breaks for farmers, truckers and fishermen to buffer the impact of fuel price hikes under the carbon tax proposal.
He said on Tuesday the new tax rebates will show "we have listened."
Mr. Dion plans to announce details today during Liberal caucus sessions on the proposal to impose a new tax on oil, diesel and other carbon-emitting fuels and to redistribute the revenue through across-the-board cuts in personal and business income tax.
The plan is the centrepiece of the official Opposition's campaign platform and has been the target of relentless attacks by Mr. Harper and his Conservative party since it was announced a few months ago.