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CKA Uber
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PostPosted: Wed Nov 30, 2011 9:38 am
 


http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142 ... 15576.html

An opinion piece from the Wall Street Journal...

Quote:
The Great Global Warming Fizzle

The climate religion fades in spasms of anger and twitches of boredom.

How do religions die? Generally they don't, which probably explains why there's so little literature on the subject. Zoroastrianism, for instance, lost many of its sacred texts when Alexander sacked Persepolis in 330 B.C., and most Zoroastrians converted to Islam over 1,000 years ago. Yet today old Zoroaster still counts as many as 210,000 followers, including 11,000 in the U.S. Christopher Hitchens might say you can't kill what wasn't there to begin with.

Still, Zeus and Apollo are no longer with us, and neither are Odin and Thor. Among the secular gods, Marx is mostly dead and Freud is totally so. Something did away with them, and it's worth asking what.

Consider the case of global warming, another system of doomsaying prophecy and faith in things unseen.

As with religion, it is presided over by a caste of spectacularly unattractive people pretending to an obscure form of knowledge that promises to make the seas retreat and the winds abate. As with religion, it comes with an elaborate list of virtues, vices and indulgences. As with religion, its claims are often non-falsifiable, hence the convenience of the term "climate change" when thermometers don't oblige the expected trend lines. As with religion, it is harsh toward skeptics, heretics and other "deniers." And as with religion, it is susceptible to the earthly temptations of money, power, politics, arrogance and deceit.

This week, the conclave of global warming's cardinals are meeting in Durban, South Africa, for their 17th conference in as many years. The idea is to come up with a successor to the Kyoto Protocol, which is set to expire next year, and to require rich countries to pony up $100 billion a year to help poor countries cope with the alleged effects of climate change. This is said to be essential because in 2017 global warming becomes "catastrophic and irreversible," according to a recent report by the International Energy Agency.

Yet a funny thing happened on the way to the climate apocalypse. Namely, the financial apocalypse.

The U.S., Russia, Japan, Canada and the EU have all but confirmed they won't be signing on to a new Kyoto. The Chinese and Indians won't make a move unless the West does. The notion that rich (or formerly rich) countries are going to ship $100 billion every year to the Micronesias of the world is risible, especially after they've spent it all on Greece.

Cap and trade is a dead letter in the U.S. Even Europe is having second thoughts about carbon-reduction targets that are decimating the continent's heavy industries and cost an estimated $67 billion a year. "Green" technologies have all proved expensive, environmentally hazardous and wildly unpopular duds.

All this has been enough to put the Durban political agenda on hold for the time being. But religions don't die, and often thrive, when put to the political sidelines. A religion, when not physically extinguished, only dies when it loses faith in itself.

That's where the Climategate emails come in. First released on the eve of the Copenhagen climate summit two years ago and recently updated by a fresh batch, the "hide the decline" emails were an endless source of fun and lurid fascination for those of us who had never been convinced by the global-warming thesis in the first place.

But the real reason they mattered is that they introduced a note of caution into an enterprise whose motivating appeal resided in its increasingly frantic forecasts of catastrophe. Papers were withdrawn; source material re-examined. The Himalayan glaciers, it turned out, weren't going to melt in 30 years. Nobody can say for sure how high the seas are likely to rise—if much at all. Greenland isn't turning green. Florida isn't going anywhere.

The reply global warming alarmists have made to these dislosures is that they did nothing to change the underlying science, and only improved it in particulars. So what to make of the U.N.'s latest supposedly authoritative report on extreme weather events, which is tinged with admissions of doubt and uncertainty? Oddly, the report has left climate activists stuttering with rage at what they call its "watered down" predictions. If nothing else, they understand that any belief system, particularly ones as young as global warming, cannot easily survive more than a few ounces of self-doubt.

Meanwhile, the world marches on. On Sunday, 2,232 days will have elapsed since a category 3 hurricane made landfall in the U.S., the longest period in more than a century that the U.S. has been spared a devastating storm. Great religions are wise enough to avoid marking down the exact date when the world comes to an end. Not so for the foolish religions. Expect Mayan cosmology to take a hit to its reputation when the world doesn't end on Dec. 21, 2012. Expect likewise when global warming turns out to be neither catastrophic nor irreversible come 2017.

And there is this: Religions are sustained in the long run by the consolations of their teachings and the charisma of their leaders. With global warming, we have a religion whose leaders are prone to spasms of anger and whose followers are beginning to twitch with boredom. Perhaps that's another way religions die.


Calling it like it is. AGW is a religion. For proof just go take a look at Eureka's posts on the topic that consistently ignore any evidence that doesn't jibe with his beliefs.

So we've got a date for 2017 of AGW doom - let's see the Eurekas of the world deny that such a prognostication was ever made come 2018.


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PostPosted: Wed Nov 30, 2011 11:44 am
 


I wonder if the writer considers the measure of CO2 in the atmosphere as unfalsifiable religion. I doubt he's looked that far into it. But count me in among the acolytes who fervently believ that the concentration of CO2 in the atmpshere is going up by about 2 ppm a year. Yay, Lord. :lol:


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PostPosted: Wed Nov 30, 2011 12:03 pm
 


The effects of the mystical, magical molecule are sorely in dispute anymore. Again, as the author points out if there really was such an EPIC!!! crisis then there'd be more care given at Durban. Instead it looks like the AGW cult is going to get lip service while the major players set aside CO2 policies in favor of economic realities.


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PostPosted: Wed Nov 30, 2011 12:07 pm
 


lol, more Fail. :roll:


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PostPosted: Wed Nov 30, 2011 12:11 pm
 


And to a large extent, I agree with them Bart. The discussion hasn't been that honest at either end in my opinion. The blatant denial of the effects of rising CO2 and its effects on the one hand, and the blatant denial of the impacts of various wealth distribution policy remedies on the other.

Disagreeing with the Kyoto Accord doesn't necessitate disbelief in the potential seriousness of global warming, IMHO.


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PostPosted: Wed Nov 30, 2011 12:14 pm
 


Quote:
Yet a funny thing happened on the way to the climate apocalypse. Namely, the financial apocalypse.


He's right about that part. Doesn't mean we shouldn't be concerned about AGW, but it does mean we'll worry about it a lot less. And at least as far as Kyoto is concerned, world events have passed it by. Putting the onus only on "first world" countries when those countries are rapidly sinking doesn't make much sense any more.

That's the problem with something like AGW - everybody plays "after you Alphonse."


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PostPosted: Wed Nov 30, 2011 12:17 pm
 


andyt wrote:
Quote:
Yet a funny thing happened on the way to the climate apocalypse. Namely, the financial apocalypse.


He's right about that part. Doesn't mean we shouldn't be concerned about AGW, but it does mean we'll worry about it a lot less. And at least as far as Kyoto is concerned, world events have passed it by. Putting the onus only on "first world" countries when those countries are rapidly sinking doesn't make much sense any more.

That's the problem with something like AGW - everybody plays "after you Alphonse."


Agreed. But if you accept that global warming is serious, it leaves us with something of a policy predicament, no?


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