BeaverFever BeaverFever:
DrCaleb DrCaleb:
BeaverFever BeaverFever:
Butterfly effect. Small differences compound into large ones when plugged into algorithms.
Exactly. Shit.
If the algorithms weren't shit, they would produce the same result every time. Small differences would be seen as errors, and ignored.
No, it’s not an error. The twins only share 99.6% of their DNA. Therefore their results were not identical.
'Error' is a changing limit, depending on what you are measuring. Getting 99.6% on a math test is functionally 100%, but 99.6% is not good enough to declare something a finding during a scientific study.
If a DNA test cannot get the same results given two nearly identical sets of DNA, then it is flawed. Would the test pick the same ethnic groups from their parents DNA that it picked for these girls? If not, then the test is not a test; it's accuracy no better than a palm reader or the readings of a tarot card.
And like FOG wrote, it's just a way for people to voluntarily give up very personal information about themselves, and have a little fun while doing it.
BeaverFever BeaverFever:
Go plug the number “100” into a complex mathematicial formula. Then go back and do it again with the number “99.6”. You’ll get a very different result. This is the butterfly effect, so named after weather models that varied drastically when numbers inputted in the calculation were rounded by a few decimal places by a lazy researcher, The difference from rounding the decimal places was metaphorically described as being the meteorological equivalent of the flap of a butterfly’s wings yet it resulted in a completely different weather pattern emerging every time.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Butterfly_effectAnd how would the DNA company see an “error?” Each twins DNA was examined independently witthe computer doesn’t know
Go plug in the numbers
I took chaos theory in University. That's not how it works. There is nothing metaphoric about math. Meteorology, Chemistry and Biology are very different disciplines. There are many math formulas where 99.6 and 100 will give very similar answers, depending on the tolerance for error you are using. And a .4% difference can be a huge amount in others, again, depending on error rates.
The butterfly effect refers to how a slight difference can magnify over time (or do nothing at all), but .4% difference in DNA is always .4%. And they are always 99.6% identical. An algorithm that can't differentiate between small errors and important sequences is useless. The answers shouldn't diverge until the error rate is over 40%, not one hundreth of that.
The fact that even related siblings can get different results from the same tests calls their accuracy into question, but also because they have a very loose definition of 'ethnicity' means the tests can't be accurate.
https://news.nationalgeographic.com/201 ... s-science/Once again, 'race' proves to be just a human concept, with little basis in science.