uwish uwish:
please name them...if he is off, he isn't off by much!
I read his book (Accidental Superpower) and while it has a lot of interesting stuff in it, it's already dated.
The biggest problem with his analysis is that what was relevant in 2014 is not relevant now.
Our currency has dropped almost 30 cents and this no longer makes sense currency-wise as we now see a boost in price because of the differential. Oil is now half of what it was when he wrote the book and that impacts his prediction too.
While it may have helped get Keystone approved, that doesn't matter now either.
He also gets equalization wrong. By his analysis, it sounds like the tax collectors are going to come rob Albertans of everything they have and not collect taxes anywhere else in Canada. Yes, we may be a 'have' province and pay in more than we get back, but the other provinces also pay into the mix and the money gets shared.
He also got bad info on the Wildrose is not a separatist party. It may have members from other parties that may have wanted to separate in the 80s, but they as a party have never espoused any such philospohy. That issue is dead as a doornail.
Lat but not least, the May 2015 election has proven his prediction that Albertans would elect the WRP into government.
The book is interesting reading, but dated by the events of the last year.
Having said that, who knows what the future will bring - like after 2020 when oil prices are expected to rebound to $80/barrel.