I just got back from a working lunch (meaning a meeting) where the discussion was ostensibly about California's looming pension crisis.
Seems that the state and its various municipalities, counties, districts, and etc. have overpromised and underfunded pensions for retired government workers and the mathematical shitstorm is going to start impacting in FY2018-2019. Which is sooner than analysts had predicted because the state's primary pension agencies (Cal-PERS and Cal-STRS) were telling the Legislature that everything was just rosy.
The problem is that the 'rosy' part was based upon assumptions of 7% investment growth from 2009 to current when the actual growth has been around 2% the whole time.
The state is quite seriously contemplating a default of its pension obligations.
So what is being planned to deal with the problem?
Adjusting pension schedules to figures that will be sustainable? Nope.
Raising taxes? Yeah, that's been tried and it's not working as wealthy people and companies flee the state. Revenue projections for FY2018-2019 are flat.
Nope, the plan being bandied about is to create severe tax penalties for people and companies who try to leave the state.
One idea was that when people sell their homes the state will take control of their funds and if the people buy a home out of state then the state can easily slice off as much as half of the proceeds as a penalty.
One serious proposal was for the state to seize fleeing businesses under eminent domain in order to keep critical revenues and jobs in the state. No shit.
A proposal that may well make it to law before July 1 is to impose a 'carbon tax' on the rental of moving vans and trailers with the most severe penalties on those who leave the state. Of course, this would be sold as offsetting a carbon footprint when in fact the purpose is to frustrate anyone trying to leave the state.
I suggested that we build a wall to keep people in.
